November Red Wave? Republicans Build Their Lead Over Dems

Newly released polling data shows that Democrats may be in for major losses come November.

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Rasmussen Reports released new polling data showing that Republicans have widened their lead over Democrats.

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“The 2022 midterm elections are now 172 days away, and Republicans have a nine-point lead in their bid to recapture control of Congress,” the group said.

Rasmussen found that only 39% of those surveyed said they would vote Democrat.

“The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, if the elections for Congress were held today, 48% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican candidate, while 39% would vote for the Democrat,” the group said. “Just four percent (4%) would vote for some other candidate, but another eight percent (8%) are not sure. Republicans have added one point to their congressional advantage since April, when they led 47%-39%.”

The numbers come as Democrats hoped to use the debate over the overturn of Roe v. Wade to bolster their support. So far, that hasn’t seemed to make a big difference for Democrats.

“The nine-point edge for Republicans in the latest poll is larger than Democrats enjoyed at any time during the 2018 midterm campaign, due both to greater GOP partisan intensity and an 18-point advantage among independents,” the group said. “While 88% of Republican voters say they would vote for their own party’s congressional candidate, only 80% of Democrats would vote for the Democratic candidate. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 45% would vote Republican and 27% would vote Democrat, while 10% would vote for some other candidate and 18% are undecided.”

That support varies by demographic.

“Fifty-four percent (54%) of whites, 23% of black voters and 46% of other minorities would vote Republican if the election were held today,” Rasmussen said. “Sixty percent (60%) of black voters, 36% of whites and 38% of other minorities would vote Democrat.”

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