POLL: Independent Voters Choose Between Biden And Trump And It’s Not Even Close

President Joe Biden has been dropping significantly in recent polling, and now it looks like his potential challenger may be out ahead.

A new poll comparing Biden to former president Donald Trump found that the two are in a dead tie, but independent voters favored the former president.

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A Grinnell College poll found that Trump and Biden are tied in support, but the key independent demographic prefers Trump. Trump has not yet announced his candidacy, but has strongly hinted he is running.

“If the 2024 presidential election were held today, the same percentage of likely voters would vote for former President Donald Trump (40%) as President Biden (40%), and 14% of voters say they would choose someone else. While Biden polls stronger among his Democratic base than Trump does among Republicans, Biden’s support among independent voters has collapsed,” the poll said.

The pollsters all echoed that sentiment.

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“In 2020 exit polling, President Biden won independent voters by a 54% to 41% margin,” said J. Ann Selzer of Selzer & Company. “If the election were held today, our poll shows former President Trump winning that group 45% to 28%. It is a massive shift in a demographic that helped carry Biden to victory less than two years ago.

“The president has time to turn his political fortunes around,” said Hanson. “But if it doesn’t happen soon, Democrats are likely to face a serious reckoning in the 2022 midterm elections.”

At the same time, much of his loss in support has been because of economic struggles like inflation and supply chain issues. Right now, only 37% of Americans approve of the job Biden is doing. The poll found most Americans don’t expect the economy to improve in the next year.

“Right now, the math is simple: a majority of Americans believe the economy will be doing worse in 12 months than it is today, and that pessimism is keeping President Biden’s approval ratings in the basement,” said Hanson.

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